Pending Home Sales are Still Strong and Homes Continue to Appreciate

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that Pending Home Sales, which reports on signed contracts, has increased from 1.1% to 2.8% for the month of June.  The index associated with this report was released at 108.3 which jumped from May’s 105.4.  Any level over 100 is seen as very strong and expansionary.  Again, since this reports on just signed contracts and not closed deals, this is a great indicator of future existing home sales.  A jump like this points to the fact that there is continued demand for existing homes.  Even though homes are appreciating in price, very favorable interest rates are helping to keep monthly payments affordable and homeownership very attractive.

Speaking of home price appreciation, Case-Shiller reported that for the month of May, national home prices rose by 3.4% annually. This is down slightly from its last report for April of 3.4%, but still a very strong number.  There are certainly pockets of higher or lower appreciation, but it is evident when inventories tighten up and demand stays strong, homes increase in value. 

With the current market conditions, we need to analyze each market, factor in these aggressive interest rates and determine the estimated amount of wealth that is to be made on each transaction.  Please contact your Advisors Mortgage professional today to start working the numbers and to learn the true value behind your very important transaction. 

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30-Second Update:  Sellers Earning More on Home Sales & July Interest Rate Cut Likely

According to data provided by Redfin, home prices rose for the third consecutive month in June.  The data indicated that US home prices reached a median value of $321,200, which is 3.4% higher from a year ago.  Capitalizing on their home’s appreciation, on average, home sellers saw a 33.9% return on their investment in the second quarter of 2019, according to the latest report from ATTOM Data Solutions.  That percentage translates into $67,500 profit on their home’s sale.  This is up from last quarter, where the average return was 31%.

Analysts believe there is a 77.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their next meeting on July 30th and 31st.  While it is widely expected that the rate cut would be .25%, analysts believe there is a 20% chance that the Fed cuts rates by .50%.  A cut to interest rates would be a welcome benefit to buyers looking to purchase a home during what is widely considered an ultra-low interest rate environment.  Current homeowners who are looking to refinance their current homes, or take cash-out via a cash-out refinance would also reap the rewards if the Fed decides to cut interest rates.

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Low Mortgage Delinquencies and Healthy Outlook for Housing

As we have been saying, homeownership is a great way to build wealth.  CoreLogic is reporting that the average gain nationwide in home equity per borrower in 2018 was $13,600!  So far in 2019, the average gain in equity has been $6,400 per borrower.  Going forward, CoreLogic forecasts that over the next year, the average appreciation rate will be around 5.6%.  Even though home prices have been moving up, they are still on track to have continued health, continuing to make housing a very strong investment. 

Molly Boesel, Principal Economist said, “Home prices have increased steadily since 2011, creating record amounts of home equity and putting homeowners in a good position to weather future downturns.” Ralph McLaughlin, Deputy Chief Economist added, “We expect the housing market to enter a normalcy phase over the next 24 months.  With prices neither rising too fast nor too slow, and with a growing stream of young households looking to buy homes over the next two decades, the long-term view looks healthy.”

Also, mortgage quality has been improving and delinquency is at all-time lows.  CoreLogic has reported that as of April 2019, only 3.6% of home mortgages were in some type of delinquency.  This is down from last year’s report where it was 4.3%.  This is the lowest delinquency reading in over 20 years! 

This is the time to speak with your Advisors Mortgage professional, whether for refinancing or purchasing, to get a quality mortgage for a home that is forecasted to help you increase your wealth.

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Source: CoreLogic

30-Second Update: Economic Expansion & Stock Market All-Time High

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, this month marks the longest expansion of economic growth since 1854, stemming back to June of 2009, a record 121 months!  Gross Domestic Product has grown a cumulative 25% during this record setting run.  In addition, the unemployment rate dropped to 3.6% in May, the lowest level since 1969. 

Driving the economic expansion, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 27,000 for the first time ever on Thursday, July 11th.  The S&P 500 also notched a record close.   Fueling the stock market are investors choosing to put their money into stocks, amidst expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates later this month.  Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at National Securities said, “The Fed is on a one-way street heading to a cut. The market is clearly in ‘don’t-fight-the-Fed’ mode.”

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Home Prices Continue to Appreciate

CoreLogic has reported that single family homes across the nation have appreciated in price by 3.6% from May last year to May this year. They are also forecasting that there will be a 5.6% rate of appreciation by this time next year! 

Frank Nothaft, Chief Economist for CoreLogic said, “Interest rates on fixed-rate mortgages fell by nearly one percentage point between November 2018 and this May. This has been a shot-in-the-arm for home sales.  Sales gained momentum in May and annual home price growth accelerated for the first time since March 2018.”

When using these forecasted numbers, at 5.6% appreciation, a $300,000 home will be worth $316,800 next year.  When combining this large amount of equity gained with historically low interest rates, you get a recipe for building wealth.  This is a great time to purchase or refinance your home.  Call an Advisors Mortgage expert today to review your numbers and to get expert advise to take advantage of this hot market.

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Source: CoreLogic

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